Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#46
Expected Predictive Rating+10.6#47
Pace77.6#40
Improvement-0.3#193

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#37
First Shot+4.7#53
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#48
Layup/Dunks+4.5#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#228
Freethrows+2.2#43
Improvement+2.6#60

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#72
First Shot+2.0#110
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#18
Layups/Dunks-0.1#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#179
Freethrows+1.2#87
Improvement-2.9#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four13.8% n/a n/a
First Round8.5% n/a n/a
Second Round3.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2015 333   Nicholls St. W 109-62 98%     1 - 0 +31.2 +17.0 +7.9
  Nov 17, 2015 273   Jacksonville W 98-79 96%     2 - 0 +8.9 +9.4 -2.6
  Nov 20, 2015 96   Hofstra L 77-82 68%     2 - 1 +0.8 -2.3 +3.6
  Nov 21, 2015 170   DePaul W 83-67 85%     3 - 1 +15.4 +3.7 +10.6
  Nov 23, 2015 137   Ohio W 90-81 79%     4 - 1 +10.9 +6.4 +3.7
  Dec 02, 2015 21   @ Iowa L 75-78 OT 24%     4 - 2 +14.8 +2.1 +13.0
  Dec 06, 2015 35   Virginia Commonwealth W 76-71 45%     5 - 2 +16.7 +2.9 +13.4
  Dec 13, 2015 322   SE Louisiana W 75-58 98%     6 - 2 +2.8 -0.7 +4.4
  Dec 16, 2015 73   Mississippi St. W 90-66 71%     7 - 2 +28.8 +10.3 +16.1
  Dec 19, 2015 301   Florida Atlantic W 64-59 96%     8 - 2 -4.2 -10.2 +6.1
  Dec 21, 2015 299   Charleston Southern W 75-64 97%     9 - 2 -0.9 -12.2 +10.1
  Dec 29, 2015 37   @ Florida W 73-71 35%     10 - 2 +16.5 +3.5 +12.9
  Jan 02, 2016 48   @ Clemson L 75-84 39%     10 - 3 0 - 1 +4.4 +11.0 -6.9
  Jan 04, 2016 3   North Carolina L 90-106 26%     10 - 4 0 - 2 +1.3 +5.7 -1.1
  Jan 09, 2016 14   @ Miami (FL) L 59-72 21%     10 - 5 0 - 3 +6.0 -10.6 +17.5
  Jan 13, 2016 74   @ North Carolina St. W 85-78 50%     11 - 5 1 - 3 +17.6 +11.3 +6.0
  Jan 17, 2016 4   Virginia W 69-62 27%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +23.8 +7.0 +17.1
  Jan 20, 2016 11   @ Louisville L 65-84 19%     12 - 6 2 - 4 +0.9 +1.9 -0.2
  Jan 23, 2016 34   Pittsburgh L 72-74 56%     12 - 7 2 - 5 +7.0 +3.9 +3.0
  Jan 26, 2016 206   @ Boston College W 72-62 84%     13 - 7 3 - 5 +10.0 +0.9 +8.7
  Jan 30, 2016 48   Clemson W 76-65 61%     14 - 7 4 - 5 +18.6 -1.2 +18.8
  Feb 01, 2016 74   North Carolina St. W 77-73 71%     15 - 7 5 - 5 +8.7 +6.4 +2.5
  Feb 06, 2016 111   @ Wake Forest W 91-71 64%     16 - 7 6 - 5 +26.8 +19.6 +6.7
  Feb 11, 2016 38   @ Syracuse L 72-85 36%     16 - 8 6 - 6 +1.4 +6.2 -4.5
  Feb 14, 2016 14   Miami (FL) L 65-67 40%     16 - 9 6 - 7 +11.2 -2.9 +14.1
  Feb 17, 2016 55   Georgia Tech L 80-86 64%     16 - 10 6 - 8 +0.8 +11.5 -10.8
  Feb 20, 2016 61   @ Virginia Tech L 73-83 45%     16 - 11 6 - 9 +1.8 +8.0 -6.5
  Feb 25, 2016 17   @ Duke L 65-80 22%     16 - 12 6 - 10 +3.6 +1.6 +1.0
  Feb 27, 2016 36   Notre Dame W 77-56 57%     17 - 12 7 - 10 +29.7 +10.1 +21.2
  Mar 05, 2016 38   Syracuse W 78-73 58%     18 - 12 8 - 10 +13.6 +3.8 +9.3
  Mar 08, 2016 206   Boston College W 88-66 89%     19 - 12 +19.1 +15.9 +2.6
  Mar 09, 2016 61   Virginia Tech L 85-96 56%     19 - 13 -2.1 +14.4 -16.3
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 14.9% 14.9% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 12.3 1.9 0.0 85.1 14.9%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.9% 0.0% 14.9% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 12.3 1.9 0.0 85.1 14.9%